Here is how Honest Points gets from your trip to a single answer. We follow one example trip through five steps. Every figure comes from the same engine and the same dated data as the trip planner.
Baseline source date June 8, 2026. Award prices are planning estimates.
Unpack this answer
Example. New York to London, economy, round trip, one traveler. Select a numbered line to highlight its part of the arithmetic. The complete answer stays visible.
The sample fare is the cash alternative. Enter your own fare to compare a trip you found.
Planning range: 25,000 to 70,000 points. This does not confirm a bookable award.
Chase Ultimate Rewards. Source date June 8, 2026. A planning value, not a promised redemption rate.
Points at baseline: 40,000 × 1¢ ÷ 100 = $400. Award cash fees are omitted.
Hypothetical holding: 50,000 points. This is a planning comparison. Availability and actual award fees still need checking.
Example. New York to London, economy, round trip, one traveler. The fare you see is $650. You hold 50,000 Chase Ultimate Rewards points. This is a made-up trip, not a live fare.
Step 1
Start with the fare you see
You give us a route, a cabin, and the cash fare you see on an airline or booking site. The fare is the number points have to beat. We do not look up fares ourselves, so the answer is only as current as the fare you enter.
Leave the fare out and we can only estimate. The answer says so, and it asks you to add the fare.
Step 2
Estimate the award price
Next we estimate the award price, the number of points the trip would cost. We sort routes by distance and cabin. New York to London is about 3,443 miles each way, which our estimate treats as medium-haul.
For a round trip in economy, that comes to about 40,000 points, in a range of 25,000 to 70,000. This is a planning estimate, not a live price. Airlines change award prices often, so check the airline before you count on it.
Step 3
Value your points at the floor
Now we ask what each point is worth on this trip. First, the planning baseline. For Chase Ultimate Rewards, our baseline is 1¢ per point, source date June 8, 2026. We keep it conservative on purpose. It is a planning estimate, not a promise of what a redemption will give you.
Then the trip's own number. The engine divides the cash fare by the points the trip needs, then multiplies by 100.
A worked example, in cents per point
$650 ÷ 40,000 points × 100 = 1.6¢ per point
1.6¢this trip
0¢2¢3¢4¢5¢
Baseline 1¢ · source date June 8, 2026
← Less value per pointMore value per point →
The marker is this trip. The dark tick is the baseline.
At 1.6¢ per point, this trip is above the 1¢ baseline. At the baseline, those 40,000 points are worth $400.
Step 4
Put cash and points side by side
Last, we set the two ways to pay on one scale that starts at zero. Cash is what you would pay, $650. Points are what you would spend, shown at what they are worth at the baseline, $400. Here the points side is the shorter bar, so the answer is Use points.
Cash vs. points, to scale
Pay cash$650
Cash you'd actually pay for the whole trip
Use pointsCheaper$400
What your 40,000 Chase Ultimate Rewards points are worth at our baselineOur conservative planning estimate for a point. A redemption at or above that estimate meets our model baseline; actual value depends on the booking.. You spend the points, not this cash
Example. Baseline 1¢ per point, source date June 8, 2026.
Step 5
Apply three fixed cutoffs
Three cutoffs shape the answer: $200 of total cash cost, 80% of the baseline, and 70% of the trip's points. The methodology page lists them too.
The same steps in words
If the total cash cost is under $200, the answer is Pay cash.
Otherwise, if the trip's cents per point is under 80% of the baseline, the answer is Pay cash. This holds whether or not you have the points.
Otherwise, if you hold enough points, the answer is Use points at or above the baseline, and Close call from 80% of the baseline up to it.
Otherwise, if your points plus a card's signup bonus reach 70% of the points the trip needs, and the card's first-year math is above zero, check its terms. If the suggested card has current issuer-checked terms, the answer is Consider a card, with no review line. Otherwise the answer is A card could be worth a look, with the line Card terms under re-review.
If none of that holds, the answer is Close call: pay cash now, or build points first.
The first two checks need a fare. Without one, the engine can only estimate, and the answer says so.
Four answers, one size
Four example trips, each run through the engine and shown at the same size. A card whose terms are still under re-review shows only the line Card terms under re-review. It has no card name and no card figure. A card with verified terms can be named, with its figures.